latenightshenanigans

  Reactions guide predictions. I can sum up this entire article with those three words, but then there won't be a good story to share!     "I will become very annoying in a few days", my grandmother announced.   "How are you so sure?"   "Well because winter will set in, my joints will sear with pain, and the feet will become swollen again. All of this will leave me agitated and irritated."   Grandma will be turning 75 this year and has no clue what data modelling is or how time series analysis works. For most folks, the capability to 'predict' the future is either a miracle only a few are born with or is a major scientific breakthrough which involves a lot of complex calculations and mathematical jargon.   It is, and it is not.   Fundamentally, the crux of most data-centric models lies in plotting a commodity's performance (let's say the quantity of a product sold) over its lifespan to understand the ripples created by several orchestra